Energy in a Nutshell

By Alice Friedemann

Last revision: May 30, 2007

 

Introduction

 

Oil is the most convenient form of energy ever discovered, second only to nuclear fuels in its energy density.  As a liquid, it’s easily stored, transported, and used.  It’s wonderfully combustible, but with a high enough flashpoint that it doesn’t explode easily.  Its complex hydrocarbon chains are the basis of the petrochemical industry, which uses oil and natural gas as a component in over half a million products, and each item is made with fossil fuel energy.

 

Basically, if you wanted to invent an ideal energy source, you’d create oil.

 

The infrastructure supporting oil use is huge, and not easily replaced.  Trillions of dollars have been spent to build refineries, oil vessels, drilling rigs, the military air and naval fleets we use to ensure the oil keeps flowing, and the distribution system (i.e. pipelines, oil-delivery trucks, gas stations, etc).  Not to mention the billions of cars, trucks, airplanes, and other combustion engine machines that use oil. 

 

The energy to create all these combustion engine-driven machines -- from the mining of metallic ores to fabrication -- is monumental in scale as well.  You can’t suddenly build a new fleet of solar, wind, coal, or nuclear driven tractors, trucks, and cars and billions of batteries, especially at a time when energy is growing more scarce and expensive.

 

It took us about 50 years for the world to switch from wood to coal, and another 50 years to switch from coal to oil.  We have a very, very short time to try to switch to something else -- less than three decades -- and whatever we try to switch to won’t be as good as oil or we’d already be using it. 

 

Since there is such a very short time left to make a transition, the energy source any Manhattan style project pursues must be able to be used in combustion engines.  So solar, wind, and nuclear are simply not of interest near-term, because they can not possibly be scaled up in the short time we have left to make the transition.

 

The problems with energy resources are listed below.  While it may not seem fair that the bright side is left out, that’s all most people ever see – after all, there’s fame and fortunes to be made from positive press releases, and negative results aren’t news.

 

Non-technical Challenges

 

There’s been a lot of debate about the technical hurdles to overcome – is there enough uranium, do biofuels have a positive net energy, etc., but there’s been very little discussion of the other hurdles.

 

Population

 

Declining energy is only the tip of the iceberg.  Population growth is at the heart of the converging issues that the Club of Rome models show bringing ecological collapse between 2020 and 2030.  The convergence of global warming, depletion of fresh water, forests, soils, and fisheries; desertification, loss of biodiversity, and contamination of our air, water, and soil with toxins will overwhelm the ability of governments to cope. 

 

There is no energy solution that can support the world’s current population, let alone a population that’s increasing.

 

Energy is the tipping point.  We have already far overshot the carrying capacity of the planet, but cheap and plentiful energy has allowed us to work around many of these issues, for example, by pumping large amounts of clean water from 500 feet.

 

If it turns out that an alternative energy resources can exist without any fossil fuel inputs, and has a high enough energy content to do significant work, then that energy resource could sustain a certain population, but it will be a much lower number than the current fossil fuel-based civilization. 

 

Garrett Hardin, in “The Ostrich Factor”, details how a state-level society could keep its population in check without the usual war, starvation, and disease.  The higher the population of a region when the “Limits to Growth” are reached, the harder the fall, the more environmental damage done, and the greater the likelihood that democracy will not survive.

 

The environmental and scientific community has been shamefully silent on the issue of population.   It’s way past time to speak out. 

 

Economic

Even if a crisis strikes and democracy goes out the window while our government focuses on energy Manhattan projects, it’s not certain that enough public funding and private capital can be raised. 

 

The people with real money aren’t going to invest in alternative energy.  They wouldn’t be wealthy if they threw their money away on non-viable projects.  Even if they’ve inherited their wealth and believe in perpetual motion, they have advisors who keep them out of trouble.  They have viewpoints similar to Peter Huber’s: “For the next several decades at least, alternative energy sources aren't serious choices; they are pork barrels, delusions, demonstration plants and daydreams.  (Huber)

 

Global trade and just-in-time delivery have too many interdependencies which will be easily interrupted by wars, oil shocks, hurricanes, and other disruptions to build new power plants of any kind quickly.  Time is critical.   As Hirsch points out, you’d want to start preparing for Peak Oil at least thirty years ahead of time.

 

(Huber) Huber, Peter. Nov 27, 2006. Love Uranium. Forbes.

 

Political   

Politically, it will be hard to devote money and energy to new projects when people are freezing and hungry.  The existing energy is likely to be diverted to agriculture and essential services, the way blood flows to your body’s core if you plunge into icy water.

 

All of these projects must be done in a time of increasing hardship, which means increasing crime, and the risk that key engineers will be hijacked or kidnapped, requiring local governments to divert increasing amounts of energy to maintaining order.

 

If wars are being fought over the remaining oil fields, and large naval fleets patrol the seas to prevent piracy and the continued flow of oil, the military will use an increasingly large percentage of the available oil.  (Bucknell)

 

Social

There’s a great deal of local opposition to building the following types of power facilities: LNG (Liquid Natural Gas), windmills, dams (hydropower), coal, and nuclear power. 

 

If a Manhattan project to build new power plants were begun, there wouldn’t be enough engineers and other technical people to staff the projects.  This is already a problem in oil and natural gas fields.   The existing engineers will be busy keeping infrastructure like water and sewage treatment running.

 

Psychological

Back in 1981, Commander Howard Bucknell III wrote that the public’s understanding of the energy situation was far removed from reality, because when given uncertain and contradictory information, the public believes what they want to believe.   

Howard Bucknell III.  1981.  Energy and the National Defense.  University of Kentucky Press.

http://www.energyskeptic.com/EnergyNationalDefense_Bucknell.htm

 

The public and politicians have always blamed energy shortages on oil company conspiracies or outside enemies, which lessens the urgency to adapt.

 

Ninety percent of the public is scientifically illiterate, and when you combine that with the psychobabble of the Self-Help and Positive Thinking movements, the public is more likely to think of Peak Oil proponents as pessimists.

 

Scientists and engineers are paid to solve problems, so they tend to see energy problems as challenges that can be solved.   

 

Finally, the worst-case implications are so depressing that very few people are willing to contemplate them.

 

EROEI – Energy Returned on Energy Invested

 

Before we throw what remaining resources we have at “solutions”, it would really be a good idea to spend the energy on something that might work.  For decades scientists have longed to study EROEI, but haven’t been unable to obtain funding, the EROEI of various energy sources.   

 

Ultimately, all that matters is energy.  When it comes to evaluating alternative energy sources such as ethanol, if it takes more fossil fuel energy to create ethanol than the energy contained in the ethanol, then ethanol is an energy sink, and it’s not worth pursuing.

 

Tad Patzek at LBNL and U.C.Berkeley, has not been able to get funding for a project which would determine a consistent thermodynamic description of all major energy capture schemes, both biological and fossil, so that we could compare apples to apples.  This would be a simpler way than EROEI to see what energy sources might replace fossil fuels, because EROEI gets endlessly bogged down in which inputs of energy to include or exclude – boundary issues. 

 

Patzek wrote me that one of the reasons he suspects he can’t get funding for this is that “no one wants to know that they may be working on a senseless project, such as industrial hydrogen from algae.”

 

Charles Hall, at SUNY, who’s written some of the most important papers on EROI for decades now, has gotten a total of $800 in grant money to study EROI.  He believes it’s too political an issue.

 

Hall guesses you’d need an EROEI of at least 5 to continue western civilization.      

 

Keep this number in mind when EROEI figures are mentioned below.  Most of our infrastructure was built when oil had an EROEI of 40 to 100 (i.e. one barrels’ worth of energy netted you 40 to 100 more barrels of oil).

 

The issues and problems of energy “Solutions”

 

I’ve pulled the issues with energy alternatives from books, scientific journals, and internet discussion forums such as energyresources and the oildrum.  I find people are bored silly by anything with a lot of numbers and equations, so this is a very easy to understand and non-technical discussion of the issues.  In fact, it’s too simple – discussion of complex energy issues does not lend itself well to the

sound-bites, so you’ll need to follow up with your own research by reading the references to get the full picture.

 

Non-Renewable Energy Sources

 

Oil

 

Since oil is so fabulous, why not just drill for more?  Economists don’t believe that there is a finite amount of anything, all you have to do is drill a hole, pour money intp it, and Voila! – black crude flows out.  When a resource is scarce, the Market goes out and finds more.   And people thought Cargo Cults were crazy…

 

Even if the oil industry had five hundred quadrillion dollars, there simply aren’t enough knowledgeable people to hire – they were all fired during the oil bust of the eighties, and now over half the current engineers and drilling rig employees are nearing retirement.  And there aren’t enough drilling rigs.  The average age of the existing rigs is older than when they’d usually be retired – they’re rusting and need to be replaced.  And the overall infrastructure may be in bad shape, as the recent news of BP having to shut down its Prudhoe Bay pipelines due to corrosion.

Coal

 

1)     Coal doesn’t contain as much energy as oil.  It’s fifty to two hundred percent heavier than oil per unit of energy generated, which makes it far more energy-intensive to transport.

2)     According to David Goodstein, professor of Physics at Caltech and author of Out of Gas: the End of the Age of Oil: “We use about twice as much energy from oil as we do from coal, so if you wanted to mine enough coal to replace the missing oil, you’d have to mine it at a much higher rate, not only to replace the oil, but also because the conversion process to oil is extremely inefficient. You’d have to mine it at levels at least five times beyond those we mine now—a coal-mining industry on an absolutely unimaginable scale.”     

3)     Turning even more heavily to coal will accelerate global warming and sudden climate change.

4)     Coal is lumpy -- you can’t pour it into your gas tank. 

5)     Liquefying coal takes half the energy contained in the coal.

6)     Coal liquefaction requires huge plants that are as expensive to build as oil refineries (no new refineries have been built in the United States for thirty years).   Where will the capital for this come from?

7)     We barely have the rail infrastructure to get coal to electrical generation plants.  Currently 40% of train cars carry coal.  Even if the train network were increased, there is a limit to how many trains can physically be brought to a coal mine.

8)     When coal is burned in coal-fired power plants, coal emits more radiation than nuclear power plants.  The acids released are ruining farmland and forests.  Coal also emits arsenic, sulfur, and mercury, which is why you can only eat fish a few days a month across the lower 48 states.

9)     There is a notion that we have hundreds of years of coal to burn, but if we turn mainly to coal provide liquid fuel (it already accounts for half of our electricity generation), then we have about fifty years of coal left, and even less than that if our use of it and our population continues to grow exponentially.

10)   We’ve already mined the best and most accessible coal.  The deeper we dig, the greater the minimum energy requirements. Since the best quality and most accessible coal were mined first, more and more energy is required to mine and refine increasingly poor quality resources. 

11)  Mining coal is tremendously destructive to the environment. 

12)  Liquefied coal (CTL) is a water guzzler, requiring 3 barrels of water for every barrel of coal. 

13)  We don’t know how to sequester carbon dioxide with the certainty that it won’t escape back into the environment.  The space to sequester carbon dioxide is limited, and if the plan is to inject it into geologically stable oil wells, the cost of running pipelines from the power plant might be prohibitively expensive both energy and dollar-wise.

14)  CTL might make people foolish enough to think we can continue on the way we have been, and not make changes in our lives.

 

Tar and Oil Sands

 

1)     Tar/oil sands are truly problematic.  The process of conversion uses a great deal of natural gas to infuse the tar/oil sands with hydrogen, and we’re running out of natural gas at an even faster rate than oil.  Production of oil from tar sands requires between 400 and 1,000 cubic feet of natural gas per barrel of oil produced, which releases five times as much carbon dioxide as conventional oil production.

2)     These sands also take a tremendous amount of energy to process, requiring expensive mining, crushing, high temperatures, centrifuging, and a lot of water to strip the oil from the tar sands to which the oil is clinging.  Consider this description of Brendan Koerner’s about how oil sands are mined:   

Alberta's black gold isn't the stuff that geysered up from Jed Clampett's backyard. It's more like a mix of Silly Putty and coffee grounds - think of the tar patties that stick to the bottom of your sandals at the beach - and it's trapped beneath hundreds of feet of clay and rock”. Koerner describes the mining process as: First, shovels excavate thousands of tons of soil and clay, creating a 150-foot pit for mining the oil sands below. Then the oil sand is piled into trucks capable of carrying 400 tons. These trucks dump their payload into crushers, which grind it down to fine oil-coated grains. The grains are then transferred via conveyor to a cyclofeeder, where it's mixed with hot water to produce a slurry. The slurry flows to the extraction facility, where large centrifuges separate out the oil-rich bitumen. The bitumen flows to cokers, where it's heated to remove impurities such as sulfur and nitrogen, leaving only usable crude oil. 

3)     In Canada, it’s hard to do this in the six month winter, when temperatures can often drop below -40F. 

4)     No matter how the extraction is done, the process is slow, and will never replace the amount of oil we’re presently using. 

5)     It’s not clear whether the EROEI will continue to be positive as the mining pit gets deeper.   It takes more energy for a 400 ton truck to get back to the factory from 300 feet down than when it’s initially scraping the surface.

6)     Using nuclear power to refine tar sands won’t work, because it wouldn’t be long before the oil sands being mined were too far from the nuclear power plant to transport it there economically.

 

Shale

 

Oil shale is any sedimentary rock that contains solid bituminous materials that are released as petroleum-like liquids when the rock is heated. 

1)     Restoring the land after mining the shale will be very energy expensive.  When oil shale is retorted, the inorganic portion of the shale expands considerably. The spent shale remaining after retorting has no commercial value, but it must be disposed of in an environmentally acceptable manner. Ideally, the spent shale is placed back in the mine, refilling the mined-out cavity and helping to prepare the area for land reclamation. Because of the popcorn effect, the volume of spent shale is greater than the volume of the mine from which it was taken. Thus even if the mine were completely refilled, there would still exist some amount of spent shale for which alternative disposal methods must be sought

2)     Shale oil needs to be mined, pulverized, and heated to get the oil out.  It's done with machines that burn oil to dig, drill, blast, crush, load, haul, dump, heat, hydrogenate, refine, and transport the ore and final product.

3)     The hydrogenation step requires a tremendous amount of water to provide hydrogen to refine the shale. Separating the hydrogen from the water uses a large amount of energy.  An estimated one to four barrels of water are required for each barrel of oil. Where this water would come from is a mystery, the Colorado river is already insufficient for downstream users.

4)     Randy Udall and Steve Andrews: "Compared to the coal that launched the Industrial Revolution or the oil that sustains Western Civilization, oil shale is a pathetic pretender…When it comes to energy, quality is everything. Quality can be measured in various ways—cost, convenience, and cleanliness all matter-—but energy density trumps them all…Pound for pound, oil shale contains one-tenth the energy of crude oil, one-sixth that of coal, and one-fourth that of recycled phone books...Dung cakes have four times more energy than oil shale…Searching for appropriate low-calorie analogies, we turn to food...Oil shale is said to be “rich” when it contains 30 gallons of petroleum per ton. An equal weight of granola contains three times more energy. The “vast,” “immense,” and “unrivaled” deposits of shale buried in Utah and Colorado have the energy density of a baked potato. If someone told you there were a trillion tons of tater tots buried 1,000 feet-deep, would you rush to dig them up? Oil shale has one-third the energy density of Cap’n Crunch, but no one is drilling in the cereal aisle".

5)     Steve Mut, CEO of Shell's Unconventional Resources unit, spoke at the Denver ASPO 2005 conference about Shell’s project to use shale oil.  He pointed out that people have been trying to do this for over 100 years, so there was no guarantee they'd succeed.  Shell has been working on a small-scale project for over two decades.  If they decide to scale it up to a level of producing significant amounts of shale oil, it would require eight to ten gigawatts of power a day, as much as a large city uses.

 

Natural Gas

 

1)     Currently it’s used for about 25% of our energy, mainly for electricity, heating, and cooking.

2)     But we don’t have enough natural gas left to substitute for oil – natural gas production peaked about 1970 and has a much steeper depletion rate than oil.

3)     We could import natural gas in liquefied form (LNG), but that requires billions of dollars of large processing plants and special ocean-going tankers.   All of the proposed new LNG facilities have been prevented by communities worried about the explosive potential of the LNG facilities and ships. 

4)     Natural gas can’t be used by most vehicles, though there are Fed Ex and other vehicle fleets running on natural gas currently.  It can take up to 8 hours to fill a tank up with gas – it needs to be forced in and pressurized to be dense enough to power a vehicle.  

 

Methane Hydrates

 

These are a crystalline form of methane gas and pure water that exists where pressures are sufficiently high, or temperatures sufficiently low.

1)     They’re at depth in oceans, so they’re hard to get to.  If you get them and bring them to the surface, they expand 164 times, which makes it hard to store and transport them.  You’ll need to use energy to compress them into a high enough density to do work

2)     Bringing them to the surface will release carbon dioxide, increasing global warming. 

3)     Drilling in the geologically unstable areas where methane hydrates are found could trigger landslides, which could damage underwater pipelines and cables.  

4)     We don’t know how to get them in significant quantities yet, and the problems of doing so may be insurmountable

5)     They are not concentrated in reservoirs like oil.  They’re dispersed in thick layers at considerable depths.   That would make them very ecologically destructive to mine, since you’d have to cover such a large area of the ocean floor to get them, sifting through millions of cubic yards of silt to get a few chunks of hydrate.

6)     One of the hypotheses for extinctions in the past, such as the Permian, which killed 95% of life on the planet, is that a massive release of methane hydrates occurred.  Even if we don’t mine them for energy, it’s possible that global warming will release them again as the permafrost melts in polar regions.

7)     Since methane hydrates form at low temperatures, you could try to mine them by raising the temperature.  You don’t need to raise the temperature much, and it’s easy enough to do this by drilling for geothermal heat.  The problem is, it’s very hard to distribute the heat into the gas hydrate layer.   You could also play with pressure and antifreeze to mine hydrates, but there are problems with these methods as well (Deffeyes. 2005. Beyond Oil, pp 74-76).

 

 

Nuclear Power

 

 “To produce enough nuclear power to equal the power we currently get from fossil fuels, you would have to build 10,000 of the largest possible nuclear power plants. That’s a huge, probably nonviable initiative, and at that burn rate, our known reserves of uranium would last only for 10 or 20 years.” (Goodstein).

 

The range of estimated uranium reserves left ranges widely, varying from 30 to 500 years.  But as the concentration of uranium in ore declines (since the best ore is used first), while at the same time the energy to mine, transport, and concentrate the ore is declining, the higher estimates appear to be unlikely. 

 

Nuclear power has been unpopular for such a long time, that there aren’t enough nuclear engineers, plant operators and designers, or manufacturing companies to scale up quickly (Torres 2006). 

 

Nuclear plants require huge grid systems, since they’re far from energy consumers.  The Financial Times estimates that ten thousand billion needs to be invested world-wide in electric power over the next 30 years. “More than half of the investment needed in the utility sector will have to be used to build and improve transmission networks”. (Hoyos 2003).

 

Nuclear plants must be built near water for cooling.  Scientists believe one of the likely outcomes of global warming is a rising sea level.  About half of existing power plants are vulnerable to this and will need to be decommissioned ($$$ to do: find exact number).  If we wait too long, floods damaging the electric grid could lead to a catastrophe by swamping both the electric grid and nuclear power plant backup systems, and eventually flood the nuclear power plant itself.  

 

Are there enough sites to build 10,000 new nuclear plants? If sea levels are rising, does that lessen the possible building sites even more?

 

One of the most critical needs for power is a way to store it.  Large storage batteries of any kind – for storage or for transportation -- have not been invented despite decades of research.  

 

A great deal of the electric power generated would need to be used to replace the billions of combustion engine machines and vehicles rather than providing heat, cooling, cooking power and light to homes and offices.  It takes decades to move from one source of power to another.  It’s hard to see how this could be accomplished without great hardship and social chaos, which would slow the conversion process down.  Desperation is likely to lead to stealing of key components of the new infrastructure to sell for scrap metal, as is already happening in Baltimore where 30-foot tall street lights are being stolen (Gately 2005).

 

Breeder reactors

  • We’ve known since 1969 that we needed to build breeder reactors to stretch the lifetime of radioactive material to tens of thousands of years, and to reduce the radioactive wastes generated, but we still don’t know how to do this.  (NAS) 
  • If we ever do succeed, these reactors are much closer to being bombs than conventional reactors – the effects of an accident would be catastrophic economically and in the number of lives lost if it failed near a city (Wolfson).
  • The by-product of the breeder reaction is plutonium. Plutonium 239 has a half-life of 24,000 years. How can we guarantee that no terrorist or dictator will ever use this material to build a nuclear or dirty bomb during this time period?

 

Greenpeace has a critique of nuclear power called Nuclear Reactor Hazards (2005) which makes the following points:

1)     As nuclear power plants age, components become embrittled, corroded, and eroded.  This can happen at a microscopic level which is only detected when a pipe bursts.  As a plant ages, the odds of severe incidents increase.  Although some components can be replaced, failures in the reactor pressure vessel would lead to a catastrophic release of radioactive material.  The risk of a nuclear accident grows significantly each year after 20 years.  The average age of power plants now, world-wide, is 21 years.

2)     In a power blackout, if the emergency backup generators don’t kick in, there is the risk of a meltdown.  This happened recently in Sweden at the Fosmark power station in 2006.  A former director said "It was pure luck that there was not a meltdown. Since the electricity supply from the network didn't work as it should have, it could have been a catastrophe."   Another few hours and a meltdown could have occurred.  It should not surprise anyone that power blackouts will become increasingly common and long-lasting as energy declines.

3)     3rd generation nuclear plants are pigs wearing lipstick – they’re just gussied up 2nd generation -- no safer than existing plants. 

4)     Many failures are due to human error, and that will always be the case, no matter how well future plants are designed.

5)     Nuclear power plants are attractive targets for terrorists now and future resource wars.  There are dozens of ways to attack nuclear and reprocessing plants.  They are targets not only for the huge number of deaths they would cause, but as a source of plutonium to make nuclear bombs.  It only takes a few kilograms to make a weapon, and just a few micrograms to cause cancer.

 

If Greenpeace is right about risks increasing after 20 years, then there’s bound to be a meltdown incident within ten years, which would make it almost impossible to raise capital.  

 

It’s already hard to raise capital, because the owners want to be completely exempt from the costs of nuclear meltdowns and other accidents.  That’s why no new plants have been built in the United States for decades.

 

The Energy Returned on Energy Invested may be too low for investors as well.  When you consider the energy required to build a nuclear power plant, which needs tremendous amount of cement, steel pipes, and other infrastructure, it could take a long time for the returned energy to pay back the energy invested. The construction of 1970’s U.S. nuclear power plants required 40 metric tons of steel and 190 cubic meters of concrete per average megawatt of electricity generating capacity (Peterson 2003).

 

Never underestimate NIMBYism, which is already preventing nuclear power plants from being built. The political opposition to building thousands of nuclear plants will be impossible to overcome.

 

The costs of treating nuclear waste have skyrocketed.  An immensely expensive treatment plant to cleanup the Hanford nuclear plant went from costing 4.3 billion in 2000 to 12.2 billion dollars today.  If the final treatment plant is ever built, it will be twelve stories high and four football fields long (Dininny 2006).

 

 

References

 

Dininny, S. 7 Sep 2006. Cost for Hanford waste treatment plant grows to $12.2 billion. The Olympian / Associated Press.

 

Gately, G. 25 Nov 2005. Light poles vanishing -- believed sold for scrap by thieves 130 street fixtures in Baltimore have been cut down. New York Times.

 

Goodstein, D. April 29, 2005. Transcript of  The End of the Age of Oil talk

 

(Greenpeace) H. Hirsch, et al. 2005. Nuclear Reactor Hazards: Ongoing Dangers of Operating Nuclear Technology in the 21st Century   http://www.greenpeace.org/raw/content/international/press/reports/nuclearreactorhazards.pdf

 

Hoyos, C. 19 OCT 2003 Power sector 'to need $10,000 bn in next 30 years'. Financial Times.

 

 (NAS) “It is clear, therefore, that by the transition to a complete breeder-reactor program before the initial supply of uranium 235 is exhausted, very much larger supplies of energy can be made available than now exist.  Failure to make this transition would constitute one of the major disasters in human history." National Academy of Sciences.  1969.  Resources & Man. W.H.Freeman, San Francisco. 259.

 

Peterson, P. 2003. Will the United States Need a Second Geologic Repository? The Bridge 33 (3), 26-32.

 

Torres, M.  “Uranium Depletion and Nuclear Power: Are We at Peak Uranium?” http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2379#more

 

Wolfson, R. 1993. Nuclear Choices: A Citizen's Guide to Nuclear Technology.  MIT Press

 

 

Hydropower from Dams

 

1)     Ultimately dams silt up, usually within 25 to 200 years, so hydropower is not a renewable source of power.  

2)     We’ve already dammed up the best rivers. There are now more than 45,000 dams around the world, affecting more than half -- 172 out of 292 -- of the globe's large river systems.

3)     Damming prevents salmon and other fish migration.

4)     We've built dams in more than half of the large river systems and have decreased the amount of sediment flowing to the world's coasts by nearly 20 percent.  This is causing long-term harm to the world's river ecosystems and raising risks that many coastal areas -- sometimes hundreds of miles from the dams -- will be flooded soon because they are deprived of sediments that help offset soil erosion. The harmful effects of ebbing soil deposits will be accelerated by the rising sea levels caused by global warming, say the researchers.   More than 37% of the world's population, or over 2.1 billion people, live within 93 miles of a coast.

5)     Dams are reducing biodiversity

 

 

Renewable Energy Sources

 

The most important reason renewable energy sources will never be able to replace fossil fuels: the energy to build windmills, solar panels, and so on, takes more energy than what is delivered.     

 

Take windmills for instance.  When all of the oil is gone, windmills must make more windmills solely on windmill power.  Windmill power must be stored to concentrate the power enough to do useful work.  So right off the bat, windmills must not only be able to generate enough power to build mining equipment and factories to mine iron ore to make more windmills out of steel with, the windmill is also making batteries from start to finish.  Plus all of the components of the electrical grid to deliver the windmill power to customers.  All of the components need to be delivered, the people who make the components need to use windmill energy to get to work, and the windmills have of course, made all of the tractors, trains, trucks, and other components of agriculture so the windmill workers don’t go hungry.  Now finally, if there’s any extra energy after all this energy expended to make more windmills, finally other people outside of the windmill industry can have some power.

 

Whatever problems fossil fuels might have, they contain orders of magnitude more energy than renewable sources such as wind, solar, hydrogen, and biomass.  Replacing them with renewable energy sources has several major challenges:

1)     The main problem facing us is the need for a liquid transportation fuel that can be used in existing vehicles. Solar, nuclear, wind, geothermal, wave, and tidal power don’t address this need. 

2)     Natural gas based nitrogen fertilizers have allowed up to five times as much food to be grown as could grown otherwise, and that plus mechanization from planting to harvesting, and oil-based distribution and processing has allowed an extra four to six billion people to exist on the planet than could otherwise be supported.  There are no renewable energy sources that can fertilize plants, except for guano, and there are very finite amounts of that.  Bat guano used to be so important to farmers that the U.S. Congress passed the Guano Islands Act in 1856.  This allowed U.S. citizens to take possession of any guano island in the world not already claimed by another government and empowered the U.S. military to protect them.

3)     Most renewable energy (except oils from plants) can’t replace the half million products made from the complex hydro-carbon chains contained in fossil fuels, such as plastic, medicine, paint, pesticide, etc.

4)     Renewables such as wind and solar are very diffuse and need large collection areas to capture their energy in real time.

 

 

Hydrogen

 

The energy-literate scoff at perpetual motion, free energy, and cold fusion, but what about the hydrogen economy?  Before we invest trillions of dollars, let’s take a hydrogen car out for a spin.   You will discover that hydrogen is the least likely of all the alternative energies to solve our transportation problems.  Hydrogen uses more energy than you get out of it.  The only winners in the hydrogen scam are large auto companies receiving billions of dollars via the FreedomCAR Initiative to build hydrogen vehicles.  And most importantly, the real problem that needs to be solved is how to build hydrogen trucks, so we can plant, harvest, and deliver food and other goods.

 

Making it

 

Hydrogen isn’t an energy source – it’s an energy carrier, like a battery.  You have to make it and put energy into it, both of which take energy.  Hydrogen has been used commercially for decades, so at least we don't have to figure out how to do this, or what the cheapest, most efficient method is. 

 

Ninety-six percent of hydrogen is made from fossil fuels, mainly to refine oil and hydrogenate vegetable oil--the kind that gives you heart attacks (1).    In the United States, ninety percent of hydrogen is made from natural gas, with an efficiency of 72% (2).  Efficiency is how much energy you get back compared with how much energy you started out with. So an efficiency of seventy-two percent means you've lost 28% of the energy contained in the natural gas to make hydrogen.  And that doesn’t count the energy it took to extract and deliver the natural gas to the hydrogen plant.  

 

Only four percent of hydrogen is made from water.  This is done with electricity, in a process called electrolysis.   Hydrogen is only made from water when the hydrogen must be extremely pure.  Most electricity is generated from fossil fuel driven plants that are, on average, 30% efficient.  Where does the other seventy percent of the energy go?  Most is lost as heat, and some as it travels through the power grid. 

 

Electrolysis is 70% efficient.  To calculate the overall efficiency of making hydrogen from water, the standard equation is to multiply the efficiency of each step.  In this case you would multiply the 30% efficient power plant times the 70% efficient electrolysis to get an overall efficiency of 20%.  This means you have used four units of energy to create one unit of hydrogen energy (3).

 

Obtaining hydrogen from fossil fuels as a feedstock or an energy source is a bit perverse, since the whole point is to avoid using fossil fuels.  The goal is to use renewable energy to make hydrogen from water via electrolysis. 

 

Current wind turbines can generate electricity at 30-40% efficiency, producing hydrogen at an overall 25% efficiency (.35 wind electricity * .70 electrolysis of water), or 3 units of wind energy to get 1 unit of hydrogen energy.  When the wind is blowing, that is.

 

The best solar cells available on a large scale have an efficiency of ten percent when the sun is shining, or nine units of energy to get 1 hydrogen unit of energy (.10 * .70).  But that’s not bad compared to biological hydrogen.  If you use algae that make hydrogen as a byproduct, the efficiency is about .1%, or more than 99 units of energy to get one hydrogen unit of energy (4).

 

No matter how you look at it, producing hydrogen from water is an energy sink.  If you don't understand this concept, please mail me ten dollars and I'll send you back a dollar.

 

Hydrogen can be made from biomass, but then these problems arise (5):

  • Biomass is very seasonal
  • Contains a lot of moisture, requiring energy to store and then dry it before gasification
  • There are limited supplies
  • The quantities are not large or consistent enough for large-scale hydrogen production. 
  • A huge amount of land would be required, since even cultivated biomass in good soil has a low yield -- 10 tons of biomass per 2.4 acres
  • The soil will be degraded from erosion and loss of fertility if stripped of biomass
  • Any energy put into the land to grow the biomass, such as fertilizers, planting,